Analyzing Backs
July 17th, 2007 | by aaron |Over the past six years there have been an average of 18 RB’s who have rushed for over 1,000 yards and of those eighteen only nine have rushed for more than 10 td’s (some were not 1,000 yard rushers) per season. Should RB’s remain top priority in your fantasy draft?
Even though the RB position is the toughest and most unpredictable in terms of injury risk, this position remains the most consistent in terms of overall fantasy production. I don’t need to remind anyone that RB’s are also the only position where you’re guaranteed multiple opportunities per game. Yes, they are top priority!
Facts:
a) Larry Johnson is a holdout and in a fifteen-week fantasy season every game counts. If he returns he will move into the top-three.
b) Smith, Holmes, and Alexander’s production fell greater than 50% following their record-breaking TD seasons.
c) I know it’s bold and I am not trying to be different. Steven Jackson is a great runner on a mission, and plays one of the easiest NFL schedules in 2007. San Diego is in the dominant defensive AFC and Tomlinson’s overall load will decrease. That’s my story and I’m sticking to it!
Franchise Leaders:
1. Steven Jackson 2. Ladainian Tomlinson 3. Frank Gore 4. Joseph Addai
5. Willis McGahee 6. Brian Westbrook 7. Reggie Bush 8. Laurence Maroney
9. Travis Henry 10. Willie Parker 11. Rudi Johnson 12. Shaun Alexander
*13. Larry Johnson
Quality #2’s:
14. Edgerrin James 15. Brandon Jacobs 16. M. Jones-Drew 17. Ronnie Brown
18. Cadillac Williams 19. Thomas Jones 20. Cedric Benson 21. Fred Taylor
22. Julius Jones 23. Clinton Portis 24. Deuce McAllister
Third Option/Not Worth it:
1. Jamal Lewis 2. Ahman Green 3. Kevin Jones 4. Chester Taylor
5. Chris Brown 6. Deshaun Foster 7. Lamont Jordan
8. Warrick Dunn (late season no value)
Top Sleepers/Top Rooks:
1. Adrian Peterson 2. Jerious Norwood 3. Brandon Jackson 4. Lendale White
5. Tatum Bell 6. Marshawn Lynch 7. DeAngelo Williams
5 Responses to “Analyzing Backs”
By FantasyFootballGoat on Jul 18, 2007 | Reply
Top backs are always debatable and you make some great points and I understand your reasoning.
What I am wondering is… what is your reasoning behind putting Reggie Bush in the top ten?
By Aaron on Jul 18, 2007 | Reply
Good question! Reggie Bush is a star caliber player. Keep in mind that Bush managed to catch 88 balls for 742 yards and scored twice. He also managed 565 yards on the ground for 6 TD’s and a combined total of 1300 yards. His total of 8 td’s all came in the final 7 fantasy weeks.
Those are rookie numbers and not many rookies have those types of seasons. Look at the similarity of all the players’ rookie numbers who I have ranked ahead of Bush.
I forgot to mention that I believe Colston will have the same types of numbers. They weren’t that good. Meachem adds some depth to the other side but he’s still third on the depth chart. Bush’s role will increase from the start of the season.
In 2007 Bush plays against the 8th easiest schedule (win %) in the NFL. 11th easiest run/14th easiest pass, and he’s on an NFC contender.
I am in the middle of writing an article
(The Sleeper Pick/Rising Stars and Impact Rookies)
which will explain how high draft pick rookies rarely live up to the hype. Reggie lived up to it.
Now, add into the fact that keeper leagues could be the most popular styles of leagues out there. (I never mention them because it takes too much time). His value increases.
That’s my story and I’m sticking to it!